Friday, April 23, 2021

Short-Term Sideways / Down

See EOD post 'reversal' alert

3:38pm EST:
 Small wave [v] = small wave [i] at 4186.75 with an 82.4% vector ratio at that time so we will have to see if that was a significant print for a reversal from a high.

3:09pm EST:
 Another 83% vector ratio in the opposite direction using a different parameter [4 of 4] rather than 3 of 4 [yesterday] is printing at the 3:00pm time slot- need to see how it closes. It may or may not be significant since this parameter has a slightly different function

2:07pm EST:
 Yesterday's comment- "
EOD: Vector ratio says 83% that today's low printed a significant number so could still be a re-test tomorrow a slight amount above or below that number. This leaves a higher 'head' possibility to remain on the table." Looks like the 83% call was an accurate analysis.

ES 4178.50 is a measured move price zone - could be a 'iii' up. Next target 4184 zone. Sure looks like whipsaw territory so anything can happen, 

Not sure if it will go to a higher 'head' to finish building a 'head and shoulders' - that particular pattern proves unreliable often. Waiting to see the closing numbers as there is a possibility a vector ratio in the opposite direction could print based on values so far today. Also the 'VIX crushes' pattern [4/8 - 4/15] may still require a decline beyond what we have seen so far. Best to watch for now.

See Critical Long-Term
 UPDATED 4/12/2021 Review Here
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2 comments:

  1. It did exact 0.786 retrace from 16th April high. Now it is starting 3 wave down. Will likely be a sharp reversal.

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  2. Varun- I presume you have read the subsequent post regarding this particular 'whipsaw' event. There might well be a smallish decline for a few days / this week sometime- it may potentially have already begun today Monday 4/26/21. We do not expect a re-reversal so soon after two consecutive '83%' signals but nothing is certain in a whipsaw. Stuart

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