Saturday, October 24, 2020

Overview Of Molasses Market

No, not the stuff you eat, as good as that is, but feels like we're wading through bunker oil at the moment. 

UPDATE: VIX expanding triangle = Imminent Short-term bump in VXX. Then the real top of the market should begin to develop (dark downward arrow on bottom right VXX chart)


Previous post commented:

"Looking for a negative breadth on the weekly to give us an overall 'progression' clue prior to any new all-time high prices. A negative weekly breadth number at a new all-time high is usually an amber flag. Multiple back-to-back weekly negative breadth numbers tends towards a red flag. That may not happen for another week or two at this rate so staying focused."

-That did not happen yet.

We may have driven close enough to the upper trend line (line drawn through orange 'b') to get a reaction at some point. VXX still 'owes' us a visit to upper targets shown (market needs to descend most likely). The closing action did get us close to a measured move up on the latest 'mini'-leg up from the futures low on 10/22 and VXX may have pulled back a similar measured amount- both actions would support a short-term (ES futures 100 point?) decline pending:

See Critical Long-Term Review Here
The bots will flag here when they see a top. (1/25/202/20/209/4/20)
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